How prize drop probabilities work

Scratch Cards use a dynamic probability system. This means your chances change over time — but always in a clear and fair way.

                               
Important rule: Probabilities increase within limits and revert to base values after receiving an item.

In simple terms:

  • If you keep getting lower-tier prizes, your chances of getting higher-tier prizes gradually increase.

  • As soon as you receive a prize of a certain rarity, the probabilities reset to their base values.

Base drop chances

At the start (for the first game), the base probabilities are:

🟢 Good Prize: 90%

🔵 Rare Prize: 6%

🟣 Epic Prize: 3%

🔴 Legendary Prize: 1%

These are the starting values before any progression kicks in.

How probability progression works

To make this system easier to understand, here is an example of probability progression over 15 games, assuming that a Good Prize drops every time (and no higher-tier prize is received). This example shows how probabilities change from game to game:

Game numberGood PrizeRare PrizeEpic PrizeLegendary Prize
90,00%6,00%3,00%1,00%
286,50%8,00%4,00%1,50%
383,00%10,00%5,00%2,00%
479,50%12,00%6,00%2,50%
576,00%14,00%7,00%3,00%
672,50%16,00%8,00%3,50%
769,00%18,00%9,00%4,00%
865,50%20,00%10,00%4,50%
962,00%22,00%11,00%5,00%
1058,50%24,00%12,00%5,50%
1155,00%26,00%13,00%6,00%
1251,50%28,00%14,00%6,50%
1348,00%30,00%15,00%7,00%
1444,50%32,00%16,00%7,50%
1541,00%34,00%17,00%8,00%

What happens when you get a higher-tier prize?

  • If you receive a Rare, Epic, or Legendary Prize, the probability progression resets.

  • All chances return to their base values.

  • Progression then starts again from the beginning.

This ensures no endless bad luck and fair chances over time.

Guaranteed rewards still apply

On top of probability progression, the Guaranteed system is always active:

  • Rare Prize — guaranteed after 21 games

  • Epic Prize — guaranteed after 48 games

  • Legendary Prize — guaranteed after 99 games

Even if luck isn’t on your side, you’ll never be stuck without progress.

 

🎁 Want to know the chances of getting specific rewards from each prize tier? Read this ARTICLE.

💡 Need a quick reminder on how the Scratch Cards mini-game works? Read it HERE!