How prize drop probabilities work
Scratch Cards use a dynamic probability system. This means your chances change over time — but always in a clear and fair way.
In simple terms:
If you keep getting lower-tier prizes, your chances of getting higher-tier prizes gradually increase.
As soon as you receive a prize of a certain rarity, the probabilities reset to their base values.
Base drop chances
At the start (for the first game), the base probabilities are:
🟢 Good Prize: 90%
🔵 Rare Prize: 6%
🟣 Epic Prize: 3%
🔴 Legendary Prize: 1%
These are the starting values before any progression kicks in.
How probability progression works
To make this system easier to understand, here is an example of probability progression over 15 games, assuming that a Good Prize drops every time (and no higher-tier prize is received). This example shows how probabilities change from game to game:
| Game number | Good Prize | Rare Prize | Epic Prize | Legendary Prize |
| 1 | 90,00% | 6,00% | 3,00% | 1,00% |
| 2 | 86,50% | 8,00% | 4,00% | 1,50% |
| 3 | 83,00% | 10,00% | 5,00% | 2,00% |
| 4 | 79,50% | 12,00% | 6,00% | 2,50% |
| 5 | 76,00% | 14,00% | 7,00% | 3,00% |
| 6 | 72,50% | 16,00% | 8,00% | 3,50% |
| 7 | 69,00% | 18,00% | 9,00% | 4,00% |
| 8 | 65,50% | 20,00% | 10,00% | 4,50% |
| 9 | 62,00% | 22,00% | 11,00% | 5,00% |
| 10 | 58,50% | 24,00% | 12,00% | 5,50% |
| 11 | 55,00% | 26,00% | 13,00% | 6,00% |
| 12 | 51,50% | 28,00% | 14,00% | 6,50% |
| 13 | 48,00% | 30,00% | 15,00% | 7,00% |
| 14 | 44,50% | 32,00% | 16,00% | 7,50% |
| 15 | 41,00% | 34,00% | 17,00% | 8,00% |
What happens when you get a higher-tier prize?
If you receive a Rare, Epic, or Legendary Prize, the probability progression resets.
All chances return to their base values.
Progression then starts again from the beginning.
This ensures no endless bad luck and fair chances over time.
Guaranteed rewards still apply
On top of probability progression, the Guaranteed system is always active:
Rare Prize — guaranteed after 21 games
Epic Prize — guaranteed after 48 games
Legendary Prize — guaranteed after 99 games
Even if luck isn’t on your side, you’ll never be stuck without progress.
🎁 Want to know the chances of getting specific rewards from each prize tier? Read this ARTICLE.
💡 Need a quick reminder on how the Scratch Cards mini-game works? Read it HERE!